Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Hamilton Academical Elgin City

Hamilton Academical W D D W D W

Elgin City W W D L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 4	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Clyde	4 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Johnstone Burgh	2 - 3	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Nairn County	0 - 6	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stranraer	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Spartans	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Hamilton Academical has a 56.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.87 %

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