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Friendlies Clubs
Lecce logo Lecce
Aug. 9, 2026 13 hours from now VS
SS Monopoli logo SS Monopoli

Match Analysis

Lecce SS Monopoli
Lecce W D L W W W
SS Monopoli L D W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Lecce have been in strong form recently, while SS Monopoli have struggled, showing weaker performance in their latest matches. Despite SS Monopoli having more time to rest, there is a clear quality gap favoring the home side. The model predicts a home win with a 64% probability, showing strong confidence in Lecce's chances. Market odds are not available for direct comparison in this friendly match.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
SS Monopoli Lecce 2 - 2 August 9, 2025

Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Bistrica 5 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Istra 1961 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home FC Politehnica Timisoara 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Szombathelyi Haladas 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Genoa 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Sassuolo 2 - 3 Win

SS Monopoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 3, 26 Home Casarano 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Potenza 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Foggia 1 - 0 Win
Apr 12, 26 Away Atalanta II 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 4, 26 Home Trapani 1905 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 29, 26 Away AZ Picerno 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lecce to win
This prediction indicates that Lecce has a 64.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.15 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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