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Aug. 9, 2026 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Pro Patria Imperia
Pro Patria L L W D L L
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Imperia is seen as the stronger side heading into the match, giving them an edge despite both teams coming in with poor recent form. The model predicts Imperia has a 43% chance of winning, which aligns with their perceived quality advantage. Pro Patria's recent defensive problems further support the prediction of an away win. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to stay under 2.5 goals overall.

Pro Patria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 25, 26 Away Renate 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Arzignano Valchiampo 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 13, 26 Away Dolomiti Bellunesi 2 - 4 Win
Apr 6, 26 Home Triestina 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 28, 26 Away Pergolettese 2 - 1 Loss
Mar 22, 26 Home Lecco 1 - 4 Loss

Predictions

Imperia to win
This prediction indicates that Imperia has a 43.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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