Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena Sunday 09th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Modena Cittadella Vis Modena

Modena W L L W L L

Cittadella Vis Modena L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Modena	Cittadella Vis Modena	6 - 0	July 26, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Virtus Bolzano	5 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	0 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Avellino	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Reggiana	2 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	Monza	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Frosinone	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 25	Away	Modena	6 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Modena has a 56.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.14 %

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