Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Sangiovannese
San Donato Tavarnelle
Sangiovannese
L
San Donato Tavarnelle
W
L
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Sangiovannese and San Donato Tavarnelle are coming off poor recent form, and they have limited past encounters to draw from. However, Sangiovannese are seen as the stronger side and have the benefit of extra rest time before this match, despite recent defensive issues. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability and also leans toward both teams scoring and the match featuring more than two goals overall, showing a view that this game could be quite open and somewhat high-scoring.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Donato Tavarnelle | Sangiovannese | 3 - 1 | August 13, 2022 |
Sangiovannese Form (Last 1 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 22 | Away | San Donato Tavarnelle | 3 - 1 | Loss |
San Donato Tavarnelle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Grosseto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 6, 25 | Away | Grosseto | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 23, 23 | Home | Fiorenzuola | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 15, 23 | Away | Imolese | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 6, 23 | Home | Cesena | 1 - 6 | Loss |
| Apr 1, 23 | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | 1 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.37% likelihood that both Sangiovannese and San Donato Tavarnelle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Sangiovannese or San Donato Tavarnelle to win
This prediction indicates that Sangiovannese has a 39.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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