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Aug. 9, 2026 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Pergolettese Inter U23
Pergolettese W D D L W L
Inter U23 W L L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Pergolettese with a 38% probability. Despite Inter U23 having a modest quality edge, Pergolettese's moderate recent form and a notable rest advantage help them in this match. Additionally, the model suggests that both teams are unlikely to score and that the game will likely finish with fewer than two goals, indicating a potentially tight and low-scoring contest. The market odds are not available for comparison.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Inter U23 Pergolettese 1 - 1 January 31, 2026
Pergolettese Inter U23 0 - 2 September 21, 2025

Pergolettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 25, 26 Home Lecco 3 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Vicenza Virtus 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Home Virtus Verona 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 6, 26 Away Albinoleffe 3 - 0 Loss
Mar 28, 26 Home Pro Patria 2 - 1 Win
Mar 21, 26 Away Giana Erminio 2 - 0 Loss

Inter U23 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Albinoleffe 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Novara 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Union Brescia 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Giana Erminio 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Home Arzignano Valchiampo 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 8, 26 Home Trento 2 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Pergolettese to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Pergolettese has a 38.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.19 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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