Leon vs Necaxa Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Leon Necaxa

Leon W L L W W W

Necaxa W L D D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leon	Necaxa	2 - 1	March 1, 2026
Leon	Necaxa	1 - 2	January 3, 2026
Necaxa	Leon	0 - 1	August 16, 2025
Necaxa	Leon	2 - 1	March 15, 2025
Leon	Necaxa	1 - 1	July 22, 2024
Necaxa	Leon	1 - 2	April 1, 2024

Leon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Mineros de Zacatecas	7 - 4	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Toluca	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Home	Club America	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	FC Juarez	3 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Puebla	0 - 1	Win
Apr 5, 26	Home	Atlas	2 - 0	Win

Necaxa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Monarcas	1 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Home	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Tigres UANL	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Club Queretaro	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Home	Mazatlán	2 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
676	Necaxa	2	2	0	0	3	1	+2	6
985	Leon	2	1	0	1	8	6	+2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that both Leon and Necaxa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Necaxa to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Necaxa has a 39.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.74 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs