Ostia Mare vs Benevento Sunday 26th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ostia Mare Benevento

Benevento D D L W D L

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Benevento Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Home	Audace Cerignola	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Giugliano	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 13, 26	Home	Cavese	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Salernitana	0 - 1	Win
Mar 29, 26	Home	Nuova Cosenza	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 23, 26	Away	SS Monopoli	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Benevento to win

This prediction indicates that Benevento has a 47.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.23 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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