Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata Saturday 25th July 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Albirex Niigata Montedio Yamagata

Albirex Niigata D D W W D W

Montedio Yamagata L D W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montedio Yamagata	Albirex Niigata	1 - 1	October 1, 2022
Albirex Niigata	Montedio Yamagata	3 - 0	May 29, 2022
Albirex Niigata	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 2	September 11, 2021
Montedio Yamagata	Albirex Niigata	0 - 2	April 11, 2021
Montedio Yamagata	Albirex Niigata	1 - 2	November 4, 2020
Albirex Niigata	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 1	July 19, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Consadole Sapporo	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Kagoshima United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ehime FC	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Nara Club	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Kanazawa	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Tokushima Vortis	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Shonan Bellmare	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Tochigi City	3 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Sagamihara	2 - 3	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Thespakusatsu Gunma	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction indicates that Albirex Niigata has a 46.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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