Sambenedettese vs Avellino Sunday 26th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sambenedettese Avellino

Sambenedettese W W D D D L

Avellino L W L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sambenedettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Away	Vis Pesaro	2 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Pontedera	2 - 1	Win
Apr 4, 26	Home	Arezzo	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 29, 26	Away	Pineto	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 20, 26	Away	Ternana	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 14, 26	Home	Città di Campobasso	0 - 1	Loss

Avellino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 12, 26	Away	Catanzaro	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Modena	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Empoli	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Bari	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Mantova	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Catanzaro	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Avellino to win

This prediction indicates that Avellino has a 43.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.08 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed