Morton vs Inverness CT Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Morton Inverness CT

Morton D D L D L L

Inverness CT W L L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Inverness CT	Morton	3 - 1	May 3, 2024
Morton	Inverness CT	0 - 2	March 2, 2024
Inverness CT	Morton	0 - 0	December 30, 2023
Morton	Inverness CT	2 - 1	December 12, 2023
Morton	Inverness CT	1 - 2	April 1, 2023
Inverness CT	Morton	2 - 2	February 4, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Stranraer	0 - 0	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ross County	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Away	Dunfermline	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Cove Rangers	1 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ross County	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Forres Mechanics	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clachnacuddin	1 - 3	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Nairn County	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Inverness CT has a 40.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.83 %

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