Oxford City vs Buxton Friday 28th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Oxford City Buxton

Oxford City W L L W W L

Buxton W W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Oxford City	Buxton	2 - 1	January 10, 2026
Buxton	Oxford City	2 - 1	September 6, 2025
Oxford City	Buxton	0 - 7	March 8, 2025
Buxton	Oxford City	2 - 1	November 23, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Bedford Town	1 - 0	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	Slough Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Briton Ferry	4 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Darlington 1883	1 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Chester	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Hereford	2 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Warrington Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ashton United	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	SC Braga	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Buxton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oxford City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 48.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.81 %

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