Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme Tuesday 13th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 13, 2026 13 hours ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Vaprus Kalju Nomme
Vaprus D L L L W W
Kalju Nomme L W W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Vaprus and Kalju Nomme have faced off with Vaprus often coming out on top in their recent encounters, and those games tended to be high-scoring. However, the model predicts an away win with a 55% probability, reflecting Kalju Nomme's clear quality gap and stronger recent attacking form, despite Vaprus' past dominance in head-to-head matchups. The market odds also favor Kalju Nomme, though they suggest slightly less confidence in an away victory than the model does. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of over 1.5 goals (63%), aligning closely with the market's strong inclination towards a game with at least two goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kalju Nomme Vaprus 3 - 1 August 16, 2026
Vaprus Kalju Nomme 3 - 1 May 30, 2026
Kalju Nomme Vaprus 1 - 2 April 26, 2026
Kalju Nomme Vaprus 1 - 0 October 5, 2025
Kalju Nomme Vaprus 1 - 2 August 10, 2025
Vaprus Kalju Nomme 2 - 2 June 27, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Trans Narva 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 16, 26 Away Paide 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 0 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Home Laagri 3 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Nõmme United 1 - 0 Win

Kalju Nomme Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Laagri 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Away Tammeka 1 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Trans Narva 2 - 0 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Nõmme United 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 2 - 3 Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Kalju Nomme 30 15 5 10 52 28 +24 50
7 Vaprus 30 12 5 13 47 53 -6 41

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.26% likelihood that both Vaprus and Kalju Nomme will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kalju Nomme to win
This prediction indicates that Kalju Nomme has a 55.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.05 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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