Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva Saturday 15th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

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Águilas

Aug. 15, 2026 6 days, 15 hours from now VS

Lorca Deportiva

Match Analysis

Águilas Lorca Deportiva

Águilas L L L W W L

Lorca Deportiva L D L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Águilas	Lorca Deportiva	4 - 0	August 15, 2024
Águilas	Lorca Deportiva	1 - 1	August 15, 2023
Águilas	Lorca Deportiva	0 - 0	August 15, 2022
Águilas	Lorca Deportiva	0 - 0	August 15, 2021

Águilas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Almeria	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 25	Home	Almeria	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 30, 24	Home	Castellón	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 24	Home	Lorca Deportiva	4 - 0	Win
Aug 10, 24	Home	Real Murcia	3 - 0	Win
Aug 7, 24	Away	Alcoyano	2 - 0	Loss

Lorca Deportiva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 29, 25	Home	Almeria	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 24	Home	Almería II	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 24	Away	Águilas	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 31, 23	Home	Eibar	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 27, 23	Home	Racing Cartagena MM	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 23	Away	Águilas	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Águilas to win

This prediction indicates that Águilas has a 45.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.29 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Águilas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Lorca Deportiva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Águilas to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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