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Aug. 12, 2026 3 days, 5 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Alcorcon Rayo Majadahonda
Alcorcon W D W L L W
Rayo Majadahonda L D L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rayo Majadahonda Alcorcon 0 - 1 July 29, 2023
Alcorcon Rayo Majadahonda 1 - 0 July 29, 2023
Alcorcon Rayo Majadahonda 2 - 1 April 29, 2023
Rayo Majadahonda Alcorcon 1 - 2 November 26, 2022
Rayo Majadahonda Alcorcon 2 - 0 March 10, 2019
Alcorcon Rayo Majadahonda 2 - 0 November 4, 2018

Alcorcon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Getafe II 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sevilla Atletico 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Marbella 6 - 2 Win
May 8, 26 Away FC Cartagena 2 - 1 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Europa Fc 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Sanluqueño 0 - 1 Win

Rayo Majadahonda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 28, 25 Home Talavera 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 24, 24 Away Real Valladolid II 2 - 2 Draw
May 25, 24 Away Gimnastic 1 - 0 Loss
May 18, 24 Home Unionistas de Salamanca 0 - 0 Draw
May 11, 24 Away Celta de Vigo II 3 - 0 Loss
May 5, 24 Home Osasuna II 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alcorcon to win
This prediction indicates that Alcorcon has a 60.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.79 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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