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Primera Nacional

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Chacarita Juniors San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors L W L D W D
San Martin Tucuman L L D W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martin Tucuman Chacarita Juniors 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
San Martin Tucuman Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 August 11, 2024
Chacarita Juniors San Martin Tucuman 1 - 0 March 25, 2024
Chacarita Juniors San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 June 19, 2022
Chacarita Juniors San Martin Tucuman 1 - 3 August 22, 2021
San Martin Tucuman Chacarita Juniors 0 - 1 April 13, 2021

Chacarita Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Temperley 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Home Almagro 3 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Patronato 0 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Temperley 1 - 1 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 San Martin Tucuman 23 7 9 7 21 19 +2 30
25 Chacarita Juniors 22 7 5 10 18 23 -5 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Chacarita Juniors will score 0 goals, and San Martin Tucuman will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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