Guimaraes vs União de Leiria Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Guimaraes União de Leiria

Guimaraes W W W L L L

União de Leiria W L D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guimaraes	União de Leiria	2 - 0	November 23, 2024
Guimaraes	União de Leiria	3 - 2	April 21, 2012
União de Leiria	Guimaraes	1 - 0	December 11, 2011
União de Leiria	Guimaraes	0 - 1	February 18, 2011
Guimaraes	União de Leiria	1 - 0	September 18, 2010

Guimaraes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Penafiel	5 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Academica	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Felgueiras 1932	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Nacional	2 - 0	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Sporting CP	5 - 1	Loss

União de Leiria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	AD Marco 09	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Alverca	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Feirense	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Vizela	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Farense	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Felgueiras 1932	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that both Guimaraes and União de Leiria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Guimaraes to win

This prediction indicates that Guimaraes has a 63.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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