IFK Varnamo vs falkenbergs FF Sunday 11th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 11, 2026 5 days, 10 hours ago
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Match Analysis

IFK Varnamo falkenbergs FF
IFK Varnamo W L W D W D
falkenbergs FF D W W L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both IFK Varnamo and Falkenbergs FF arrive with strong recent form, but Falkenbergs FF are considered the better side due to a clear quality gap in their favor. Despite this, IFK Varnamo has a history of dominating recent meetings between the two teams, and the model predicts a home win with a 42% probability. This is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest for a home victory. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
falkenbergs FF IFK Varnamo 3 - 1 May 23, 2026
IFK Varnamo falkenbergs FF 1 - 0 March 8, 2025
IFK Varnamo falkenbergs FF 3 - 2 October 25, 2021
IFK Varnamo falkenbergs FF 0 - 1 July 10, 2021
falkenbergs FF IFK Varnamo 0 - 3 May 1, 2021
falkenbergs FF IFK Varnamo 3 - 0 October 28, 2018

IFK Varnamo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Oddevold 1 - 2 Win
Sep 15, 26 Home Osters IF 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Away United Nordic 2 - 4 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Varbergs BoIS FC 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away ljungSKile SK 0 - 1 Win
Aug 24, 26 Home Landskrona BoIS 1 - 1 Draw

falkenbergs FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Home Ostersunds FK 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Away ljungSKile SK 0 - 2 Win
Sep 10, 26 Home Osters IF 2 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Oddevold 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home IK brage 4 - 1 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away IFK Norrkoping 2 - 1 Loss

Superettan Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 falkenbergs FF 25 13 6 6 46 33 +13 45
11 IFK Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33 45 -12 29

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.39% likelihood that both IFK Varnamo and falkenbergs FF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
IFK Varnamo to win
This prediction indicates that IFK Varnamo has a 41.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.23 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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