Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 17th October 2026 04:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Union Berlin logo Union Berlin View team ›
Oct. 17, 2026 15 hours from now VS
Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund View team ›

New signing: D. Kreilach joined Union Berlin from HNK Rijeka on 23 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin W W L L L D
Borussia Dortmund L D W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund 0 - 3 January 24, 2026
Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin 3 - 0 August 31, 2025
Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin 6 - 0 February 22, 2025
Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1 October 5, 2024
Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund 0 - 2 March 2, 2024
Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin 4 - 2 October 7, 2023

Union Berlin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home SV Elversberg 1 - 0 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away HNK Rijeka 0 - 1 Win
Sep 18, 26 Away Bayern München 7 - 0 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Home FC Schalke 04 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Draw

Borussia Dortmund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 14, 26 Away Bodo/Glimt 1 - 0 Loss
Oct 9, 26 Home Werder Bremen 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Away VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home SC Paderborn 07 3 - 0 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Villarreal 3 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Win

Bundesliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 5 4 1 0 11 4 +7 13
16 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 5 17 -12 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.19% likelihood that both Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Borussia Dortmund to win
This prediction indicates that Borussia Dortmund has a 63.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.16 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart 15 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg 15 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 15 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 18 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 15 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. ›

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