Newcastle vs Aston Villa Saturday 17th October 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Premier League

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Newcastle View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 18 hours from now VS

Aston Villa View team ›

Match Analysis

Newcastle Aston Villa

Newcastle L W L W D W

Aston Villa W D W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 - 3	February 14, 2026
Newcastle	Aston Villa	0 - 2	January 25, 2026
Aston Villa	Newcastle	0 - 0	August 16, 2025
Aston Villa	Newcastle	4 - 1	April 19, 2025
Newcastle	Aston Villa	3 - 0	December 26, 2024
Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 - 3	January 30, 2024

Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 12, 26	Away	Coventry	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Hull City	2 - 1	Win
Sep 14, 26	Away	Leeds	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Away	Millwall	0 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Tottenham	0 - 2	Win

Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 14, 26	Home	Fenerbahce	6 - 0	Win
Oct 10, 26	Home	Brentford	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 2, 26	Away	Sevilla	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Tottenham	2 - 3	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	Coventry	1 - 3	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	1 - 2	Loss

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
15	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.74% likelihood that both Newcastle and Aston Villa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Newcastle or Aston Villa to win

This prediction indicates that Newcastle has a 40.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.23 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Manchester City vs Ipswich 16 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Fulham vs Hull City 16 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Everton vs Chelsea 13 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Brentford vs Liverpool 16 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Premier League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Newcastle or Aston Villa to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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