Marino de Luanco vs Real Avilés Wednesday 29th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Marino de Luanco Real Avilés

Marino de Luanco W L W L L L

Real Avilés D L L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Marino de Luanco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Sporting Gijon	1 - 2	Win
Aug 5, 25	Away	Caudal	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Home	Mosconia	2 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 25	Home	Sporting Gijon	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 31, 24	Away	Caudal	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 20, 24	Home	Sporting Gijon	0 - 2	Loss

Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Pontevedra	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Barakaldo	1 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Ponferradina	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Racing Ferrol	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Unionistas de Salamanca	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.21% likelihood that both Marino de Luanco and Real Avilés will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Marino de Luanco to win

This prediction indicates that Marino de Luanco has a 48.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.62 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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