Montrose vs Spartans Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Montrose Spartans

Montrose W L D D L D

Spartans D L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montrose	Spartans	2 - 1	December 22, 2025
Montrose	Spartans	3 - 1	October 11, 2025
Spartans	Montrose	2 - 2	July 6, 2024

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Inverurie Loco Works	7 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Queen of the South	2 - 2	Draw

Spartans Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 9, 26	Home	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Clyde	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Elgin City	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Annan Athletic	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Stranraer	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.53% likelihood that both Montrose and Spartans will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Montrose or Spartans to win

This prediction indicates that Montrose has a 40.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.36 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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