Pontefract Collieries vs Guiseley AFC Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pontefract Collieries Guiseley AFC

Pontefract Collieries L W W L W L

Guiseley AFC W W L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Pontefract Collieries Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Away	Morpeth Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Home	Blyth Spartans	1 - 0	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	Newcastle Benfield	2 - 3	Win
Aug 31, 24	Away	Sheffield	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Home	Redcar Athletic	3 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 24	Away	Worksop Town	7 - 0	Loss

Guiseley AFC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Stocksbridge Park Steels	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Tadcaster Albion	0 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Away	South Shields	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Away	Rylands	1 - 4	Win
Jul 19, 25	Home	Leeds United U21	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.32% likelihood that both Pontefract Collieries and Guiseley AFC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Pontefract Collieries or Guiseley AFC to win

This prediction indicates that Pontefract Collieries has a 39.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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