Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Verspah Oita Tuesday 28th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Verspah Oita

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W L W W W W

Verspah Oita L L L L W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	NK Slaven Belupo	1 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Sturm Graz	5 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Kawasaki Frontale	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	4 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 4	Win

Verspah Oita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	7 - 1	Loss
May 25, 25	Away	Okinawa SV	4 - 1	Loss
Jan 24, 24	Away	Oita Trinita	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 23	Away	Consadole Sapporo	5 - 2	Loss
Jun 7, 23	Away	Oita Trinita	0 - 1	Win
May 21, 23	Home	Baleine Shimonoseki	2 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Verspah Oita will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

This prediction indicates that Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 65.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.50 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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