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Friendlies Clubs
Beasain logo Beasain
Aug. 15, 2026 7 hours from now VS
Touring logo Touring

Match Analysis

Beasain Touring
Beasain L D D
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Beasain with a 40% probability. Given that the teams are closely matched in overall quality but both are in poor recent form, the prediction leans toward Beasain mainly due to home advantage. Additionally, the model's view that both teams will score (53% probability) and that the game will likely stay under 2.5 goals aligns with the recent defensive struggles mentioned for Beasain and the generally poor form of both sides, suggesting a tightly contested match with limited scoring. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's probabilities stand on their own assessment of the qualitative context provided.

Beasain Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 30, 24 Home FC Cartagena 0 - 1 Loss
Nov 12, 22 Home Sporting Gijon 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 30, 22 Away Real Sociedad II 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Beasain or Touring to win
This prediction indicates that Beasain has a 39.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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