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Friendlies Clubs
Sestri Levante logo Sestri Levante
Aug. 15, 2026 14 hours from now VS
Genoa U20 logo Genoa U20

Match Analysis

Sestri Levante Genoa U20
Sestri Levante W D D L L W
Genoa U20 D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Genoa U20 with a 37% probability. Genoa U20 is considered to have a clear quality advantage over Sestri Levante, who are in poor recent form. Additionally, Genoa U20 have had more rest time and have shown strong attacking performance recently, supporting the prediction of an away win. The model also sees a high chance (53%) that both teams will score and that there will be more than one goal (53% over 1.5 goals) and more than two goals (51% over 2.5 goals) in the match. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's confidence levels stand on their own qualitative assessments.

Sestri Levante Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 27, 25 Away Athletic Carpi 0 - 2 Win
Apr 23, 25 Home Ascoli 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 12, 25 Away Perugia 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 5, 25 Home Milan II 1 - 2 Loss
Mar 30, 25 Away Rimini 4 - 2 Loss
Mar 23, 25 Home Pescara 3 - 1 Win

Genoa U20 Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jan 8, 25 Away Milan U20 1 - 1 Draw
Dec 4, 24 Home Cremonese U20 2 - 1 Win
Oct 29, 24 Home Como U19 4 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.45% likelihood that both Sestri Levante and Genoa U20 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Sestri Levante or Genoa U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Genoa U20 has a 37.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.33 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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