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Friendlies Clubs
Orihuela logo Orihuela
Aug. 15, 2026 16 hours from now VS
Cieza logo Cieza

Match Analysis

Orihuela Cieza
Orihuela L L D D D L
Cieza L L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Orihuela with a 40% probability. Despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality and both showing poor recent form, Orihuela is favored slightly, possibly due to home advantage. The model also suggests there's a 53% chance both teams will score, reflecting the defensive struggles of both sides. Additionally, the model sees a 54% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored, indicating an expectation of a relatively open and potentially high-scoring match, despite the recent poor form of both teams.

Orihuela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 12, 26 Away FC Cartagena 3 - 0 Loss
Oct 30, 25 Home Levante 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 9, 25 Home Real Murcia 1 - 1 Draw
Dec 5, 24 Home Getafe 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 30, 24 Away Langreo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 24, 24 Home Racing CF Benidorm 1 - 2 Loss

Cieza Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 5, 26 Home Real Murcia 1 - 4 Loss
Dec 3, 25 Home Levante 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 29, 25 Home Cordoba 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 23 Away Ucam Murcia 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 5, 22 Home Yeclano 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Orihuela or Cieza to win
This prediction indicates that Orihuela has a 40.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.23 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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