Newcastle vs Bayer Leverkusen Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Newcastle Bayer Leverkusen

Newcastle L D W L W D

Bayer Leverkusen W W W D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bayer Leverkusen	Newcastle	2 - 2	December 10, 2025

Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Bristol City	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Gateshead	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Darlington 1883	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Fulham	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	West Ham	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Nottingham Forest	1 - 1	Draw

Bayer Leverkusen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Genk	4 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Kickers Offenbach	1 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	SF Baumberg	0 - 7	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.76% likelihood that both Newcastle and Bayer Leverkusen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Newcastle or Bayer Leverkusen to win

This prediction indicates that Newcastle has a 38.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.05 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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