Pozuelo Alarcón vs Marchamalo Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

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Pozuelo Alarcón

Aug. 15, 2026 5 hours from now VS

Marchamalo

Match Analysis

Pozuelo Alarcón Marchamalo

Pozuelo Alarcón L L D

Marchamalo L L W L D D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Pozuelo Alarcón with a 45% probability. The match features two teams that are closely matched in quality but both are in poor recent form, making the outcome uncertain. Pozuelo Alarcón has a rest advantage, which may help them, though both sides have had defensive issues recently. The model’s view on a home win is not strongly supported by the available context, reflecting the tight contest and current form challenges for both teams.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Pozuelo Alarcón	Marchamalo	1 - 2	September 3, 2022

Pozuelo Alarcón Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 5, 23	Home	Illescas	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 3, 22	Home	Marchamalo	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 6, 22	Home	Leganés II	1 - 1	Draw

Marchamalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 24	Home	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 8, 24	Away	Móstoles	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 3, 22	Away	Pozuelo Alarcón	1 - 2	Win
Nov 30, 21	Home	Valladolid	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 14, 21	Away	Calvo Sotelo	0 - 0	Draw
Dec 15, 20	Home	Huesca	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Pozuelo Alarcón to win

This prediction indicates that Pozuelo Alarcón has a 44.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.19 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Pozuelo Alarcón Form (Last 3 Matches)

Marchamalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Pozuelo Alarcón to win

Most Likely Scorelines

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