Xerez Deportivo vs Mijas Las Lagunas Saturday 15th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

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Xerez Deportivo

Aug. 15, 2026 15 hours from now VS

Mijas Las Lagunas

Match Analysis

Xerez Deportivo Mijas Las Lagunas

Xerez Deportivo D D W D L W

Mijas Las Lagunas L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features two sides that are fairly even in overall quality, but Xerez Deportivo have had better recent form compared to Mijas Las Lagunas, who have been struggling defensively. Xerez Deportivo have also been in good attacking shape lately, which adds to their advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, and this outlook aligns with the teams' recent performances despite Mijas Las Lagunas having a rest advantage.

Xerez Deportivo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 25	Away	Algeciras	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 21, 25	Home	Ceuta II	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 12, 25	Home	Sevilla Atletico	2 - 0	Win
Aug 24, 24	Home	Atlético Central	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 13, 24	Home	Sevilla Atletico	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 10, 24	Home	Algeciras	1 - 0	Win

Mijas Las Lagunas Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 23	Home	Chiclana	0 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Xerez Deportivo to win

This prediction indicates that Xerez Deportivo has a 49.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Xerez Deportivo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Mijas Las Lagunas Form (Last 1 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Xerez Deportivo to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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