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Friendlies Clubs
La Calzada logo La Calzada
Aug. 15, 2026 7 hours from now VS
San Ignacio logo San Ignacio

Match Analysis

La Calzada San Ignacio
La Calzada L W L L
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for La Calzada with a 41% probability. Despite San Ignacio having a modest quality edge, both teams are in poor recent form, and La Calzada have shown defensive struggles recently. The model also suggests a 52% chance that both teams will score, indicating an uncertain defensive performance from both sides. There are no available market odds to compare against these predictions.

La Calzada Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 25 Home SD Logroñés 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 24 Home Anguiano 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 21 Home UD Logroñés 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 4, 21 Home Racing Rioja 0 - 2 Loss

Predictions

La Calzada or San Ignacio to win
This prediction indicates that La Calzada has a 40.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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