FSV Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth Saturday 15th August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 Bournemouth

FSV Mainz 05 W W W W W W

Bournemouth W W D D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Holstein Kiel	3 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	FC Kaiserslautern	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Eisbachtal	0 - 10	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Pfeddersheim	0 - 11	Win
May 16, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	0 - 2	Win

Bournemouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	FC Augsburg	2 - 5	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	FC St. Pauli	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Nottingham Forest	1 - 1	Draw
May 19, 26	Home	Manchester City	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Fulham	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Crystal Palace	3 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.35% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 and Bournemouth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bournemouth to win

This prediction indicates that Bournemouth has a 47.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.25 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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