Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 15th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Jagiellonia Ararat-Armenia
Jagiellonia L L W L L L
Ararat-Armenia W L W D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Gornik Zabrze 1 - 3 Loss
Oct 3, 26 Home Polonia Warszawa 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 29, 26 Home Suduva Marijampole 5 - 0 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home Legia Warszawa 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 16, 26 Away Olympiakos Piraeus 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Away Wisla Krakow 2 - 0 Loss

Ararat-Armenia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Ararat 0 - 4 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Sparta Praha 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 27, 26 Home CS Universitatea Craiova 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away CS Universitatea Craiova 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Away Celje 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Home Celje 2 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that both Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Jagiellonia to win
This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 52.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.39 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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