Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Saturday 17th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Championship

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Middlesbrough View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Cardiff View team ›

Match Analysis

Middlesbrough Cardiff

Middlesbrough W W D D W L

Cardiff W L W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Middlesbrough	Cardiff	1 - 1	January 4, 2025
Cardiff	Middlesbrough	0 - 2	August 31, 2024
Cardiff	Middlesbrough	1 - 4	April 27, 2024
Middlesbrough	Cardiff	2 - 0	October 3, 2023
Cardiff	Middlesbrough	1 - 3	February 11, 2023
Middlesbrough	Cardiff	2 - 3	September 13, 2022

Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 13, 26	Away	Stoke City	2 - 3	Win
Oct 10, 26	Home	Wolves	1 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Birmingham	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 15, 26	Home	Millwall	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Norwich	4 - 3	Win
Sep 8, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	3 - 0	Loss

Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 13, 26	Home	Watford	5 - 1	Win
Oct 10, 26	Away	Blackburn	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Charlton	3 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Bolton	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Stoke City	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Portsmouth	2 - 0	Loss

Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20	14	+6	21
18	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	16	15	+1	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.51% likelihood that both Middlesbrough and Cardiff will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Middlesbrough to win

This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 63.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.48 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Championship

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)

Championship Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Middlesbrough to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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