Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Paks Thursday 16th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Paks

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W W W W W D

Paks W D W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Kawasaki Frontale	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	4 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Gamba Osaka	0 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	1 - 1	Draw

Paks Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Komárno	4 - 1	Win
Jun 24, 26	Home	Szentlőrinc SE	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Kelen	1 - 10	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Diosgyori VTK	1 - 3	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Debreceni VSC	5 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Ferencvarosi TC	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
241	Paks	7	3	2	2	25	11	+14	11
2353	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.63% likelihood that both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Paks will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Paks to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Paks has a 40.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs