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Challenge Cup

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Berwick Rangers Stranraer
Berwick Rangers D L L W L W
Stranraer W L W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stranraer Berwick Rangers 6 - 0 July 20, 2019

Berwick Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Annan Athletic 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Home Hearts U21 3 - 4 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Home Nairn County 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 8, 25 Away Whitehill Welfare 1 - 5 Win
Oct 26, 24 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 28, 24 Home Cupar Hearts 4 - 2 Win

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Forfar Athletic 0 - 3 Win
Sep 1, 26 Home Celtic II 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Win
Aug 25, 26 Home Gala Fairydean Rovers 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Spartans 1 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.95% likelihood that both Berwick Rangers and Stranraer will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stranraer to win
This prediction indicates that Stranraer has a 48.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.81 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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