Canvey Island vs Aveley Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Canvey Island Aveley

Canvey Island D L L L L W

Aveley L W L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Canvey Island	Aveley	2 - 2	July 23, 2024
Aveley	Canvey Island	2 - 5	September 14, 2013

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Maldon & Tiptree	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Cambridge City	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 25	Home	Braintree	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 29, 24	Away	Biggleswade	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 14, 24	Home	Felixstowe & Walton Utd	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Leiston	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Folkestone Invicta	3 - 2	Win
Oct 11, 25	Home	Gateshead	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 29, 25	Home	Halesowen Town	1 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Halesowen Town	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 13, 25	Away	AFC Sudbury	1 - 2	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Canvey Island has a 41.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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