Carlisle vs Salford City Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Carlisle Salford City

Carlisle D W W W D D

Salford City L L W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Carlisle	Salford City	2 - 2	May 3, 2025
Salford City	Carlisle	0 - 1	November 9, 2024
Carlisle	Salford City	2 - 3	April 29, 2023
Salford City	Carlisle	1 - 4	November 19, 2022
Salford City	Carlisle	2 - 1	February 1, 2022
Carlisle	Salford City	2 - 1	September 4, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 3, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Brackley Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Morecambe	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Gateshead	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Away	Notts County	3 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Grimsby	1 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Grimsby	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Crawley Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 23, 26	Home	Bromley	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Oldham	1 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 48.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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