Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Carrick Rangers
Ards
Carrick Rangers
L
W
W
L
D
W
Ards
W
D
D
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | Ards | 2 - 2 | July 26, 2025 |
| Carrick Rangers | Ards | 1 - 3 | July 22, 2023 |
| Carrick Rangers | Ards | 4 - 4 | July 26, 2022 |
| Carrick Rangers | Ards | 0 - 1 | April 14, 2018 |
| Ards | Carrick Rangers | 0 - 4 | February 10, 2018 |
| Ards | Carrick Rangers | 1 - 0 | December 26, 2017 |
Carrick Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 26 | Away | Dungannon Swifts | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Glenavon FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Bangor | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Ballymena United | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 7, 26 | Away | Portadown | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Mar 28, 26 | Home | Crusaders FC | 6 - 1 | Win |
Ards Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 25 | Away | Bangor | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 25 | Away | Carrick Rangers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 24 | Away | Loughgall | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 24 | Home | Portadown | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 24 | Away | PSNI | 0 - 7 | Win |
| Jul 5, 24 | Away | Ballymena United | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Carrick Rangers to win
This prediction indicates that Carrick Rangers has a 63.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.57 %Most Likely Scorelines
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