Colchester vs Charlton Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Colchester Charlton

Colchester D W L L W W

Charlton D W L W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Colchester	Charlton	2 - 1	October 4, 2022
Colchester	Charlton	2 - 4	July 12, 2022
Colchester	Charlton	1 - 1	November 8, 2016
Colchester	Charlton	2 - 1	January 9, 2016
Charlton	Colchester	4 - 0	August 12, 2014
Charlton	Colchester	0 - 2	March 6, 2012

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Norwich	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Notts County	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 1	Win
Apr 10, 26	Home	Swindon Town	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Maribor	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Dartford	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Swansea	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Hull City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Ipswich	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Sheffield Wednesday	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Colchester has a 43.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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