Dartford vs Chelmsford City Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Dartford Chelmsford City

Dartford D W L L D D

Chelmsford City W L W D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chelmsford City	Dartford	4 - 1	March 29, 2024
Dartford	Chelmsford City	1 - 2	November 7, 2023
Dartford	Chelmsford City	1 - 2	March 25, 2023
Chelmsford City	Dartford	1 - 0	December 3, 2022
Dartford	Chelmsford City	2 - 1	March 15, 2022
Chelmsford City	Dartford	0 - 0	October 25, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	2 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Charlton	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Home	Bracknell Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Away	Bracknell Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	Ebbsfleet United	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Bishop's Stortford	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Eastbourne Borough	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Chesham United	0 - 2	Win
Apr 14, 26	Away	AFC Hornchurch	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Maidenhead	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Away	Dagenham & Redbridge	3 - 3	Draw

This prediction indicates that Chelmsford City has a 46.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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