Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock II Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Dumbarton

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Kilmarnock II

Match Analysis

Dumbarton Kilmarnock II

Dumbarton W L D L L L

Kilmarnock II D L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kilmarnock II	Dumbarton	1 - 1	August 16, 2023

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Elgin City	2 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Annan Athletic	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Home	Celtic II	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Kelty Hearts	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 11, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 3	Loss

Kilmarnock II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 25, 26	Away	Cumbernauld Colts	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 11, 26	Away	East Kilbride	5 - 3	Loss
Nov 11, 25	Away	Annan Athletic	6 - 0	Loss
Oct 10, 25	Away	Clyde	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 23, 25	Away	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 25	Away	Stenhousemuir	4 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that both Dumbarton and Kilmarnock II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dumbarton or Kilmarnock II to win

This prediction indicates that Dumbarton has a 42.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.90 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Challenge Cup

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Kilmarnock II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Dumbarton or Kilmarnock II to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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