Estrela vs Casa Pia Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Estrela Casa Pia

Estrela D D L L L L

Casa Pia W D D W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Estrela	Casa Pia	4 - 0	March 20, 2026
Casa Pia	Estrela	3 - 5	November 1, 2025
Casa Pia	Estrela	1 - 0	February 9, 2025
Estrela	Casa Pia	0 - 1	August 31, 2024
Estrela	Casa Pia	3 - 1	March 8, 2024
Casa Pia	Estrela	0 - 1	October 8, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Famalicao	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Moreirense	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Porto	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Arouca	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Sporting CP	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	Torreense	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Torreense	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Guimaraes	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Tondela	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Away	GIL Vicente	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Estrela has a 38.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.35 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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