FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Saturday 17th October 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Bundesliga

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FC Schalke 04 View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 14 hours from now VS

FSV Mainz 05 View team ›

Match Analysis

FC Schalke 04 FSV Mainz 05

FC Schalke 04 L W W D W D

FSV Mainz 05 L W W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FSV Mainz 05	FC Schalke 04	2 - 3	May 5, 2023
FC Schalke 04	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 0	November 9, 2022
FC Schalke 04	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 0	March 5, 2021
FSV Mainz 05	FC Schalke 04	2 - 2	November 7, 2020
FSV Mainz 05	FC Schalke 04	0 - 0	February 16, 2020
FC Schalke 04	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 1	September 20, 2019

FC Schalke 04 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	0 - 1	Win
Sep 24, 26	Away	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	2 - 5	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	SV Elversberg	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Bayern München	0 - 0	Draw

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Bayer Leverkusen	3 - 4	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Waldhof Mannheim	0 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Borussia Monchengladbach	3 - 4	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Hamburger SV	0 - 5	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	SC Paderborn 07	0 - 0	Draw

Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	FSV Mainz 05	5	2	1	2	13	10	+3	7
12	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.99% likelihood that both FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 to win

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 has a 43.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.99 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 17 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

FC Schalke 04 Form (Last 6 Matches)

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Bundesliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

FSV Mainz 05 to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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