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Challenge Cup

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Formartine United Montrose
Formartine United L W L W W L
Montrose W W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Montrose Formartine United 4 - 3 June 25, 2022

Formartine United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Dundee II 4 - 1 Win
Oct 24, 25 Home Buckie Thistle 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Away Lossiemouth 1 - 2 Win
Jul 19, 25 Home Aberdeen U21 3 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 25 Home Elgin City 1 - 3 Loss

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Peterhead 0 - 3 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Queen of the South 2 - 1 Win
Aug 25, 26 Home Clyde 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home East Kilbride 3 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Alloa Athletic 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Fraserburgh 2 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.22% likelihood that both Formartine United and Montrose will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Formartine United or Montrose to win
This prediction indicates that Formartine United has a 40.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.73 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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