Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Fraserburgh Cove Rangers

Fraserburgh D L W L W L

Cove Rangers D L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cove Rangers	Fraserburgh	1 - 0	July 8, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 25, 26	Home	Aberdeen U21	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 11, 26	Away	Montrose	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Aberdeen U21	3 - 1	Win
Oct 25, 25	Away	Banks O' Dee	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Away	Brora Rangers	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 25	Home	Hermes	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Home	Dundee United II	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Peterhead	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	East Kilbride	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 11, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	4 - 2	Loss

This prediction indicates that Fraserburgh has a 40.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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