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Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Illescas Pozuelo Alarcón
Illescas D L D W D W
Pozuelo Alarcón L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pozuelo Alarcón Illescas 0 - 1 August 5, 2023

Illescas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Talavera 1 - 1 Draw
Jan 4, 25 Home Toledo 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 24, 24 Home Leganés II 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 13, 24 Home Rayo Vallecano II 2 - 0 Win
Aug 12, 23 Home Valencia II 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 5, 23 Away Pozuelo Alarcón 0 - 1 Win

Pozuelo Alarcón Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 5, 23 Home Illescas 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 3, 22 Home Marchamalo 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 6, 22 Home Leganés II 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Illescas to win
This prediction indicates that Illescas has a 47.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.09 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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