Kidderminster Harriers vs Alvechurch Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers Alvechurch

Kidderminster Harriers W W W W W W

Alvechurch W D L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alvechurch	Kidderminster Harriers	2 - 2	October 3, 2020

Kidderminster Harriers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 9, 26	Away	South Shields	0 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Macclesfield	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	South Shields	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Leamington	2 - 3	Win
Apr 14, 26	Away	Radcliffe	1 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	King's Lynn Town	4 - 1	Win

Alvechurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 13, 26	Away	Boldmere St. Michaels	2 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 27, 25	Home	Chelmsford City	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Home	Leamington	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Home	Barwell	4 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 24	Away	Anstey Nomads	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.3% likelihood that both Kidderminster Harriers and Alvechurch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kidderminster Harriers to win

This prediction indicates that Kidderminster Harriers has a 64.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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