Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Matsumoto Yamaga Ventforet Kofu

Matsumoto Yamaga L D D D D W

Ventforet Kofu L L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Matsumoto Yamaga	Ventforet Kofu	0 - 1	May 3, 2026
Ventforet Kofu	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 - 0	February 28, 2026
Ventforet Kofu	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 - 3	October 6, 2024
Ventforet Kofu	Matsumoto Yamaga	3 - 2	November 14, 2021
Matsumoto Yamaga	Ventforet Kofu	3 - 3	April 17, 2021
Ventforet Kofu	Matsumoto Yamaga	0 - 1	December 13, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Nara Club	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Fukushima United	3 - 3	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Iwaki	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Fujieda MYFC	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	FC Gifu	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Vegalta Sendai	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Parceiro Nagano	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	FC Gifu	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Iwaki	0 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Jubilo Iwata	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Matsumoto Yamaga has a 38.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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