Morecambe vs AFC Fylde Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Morecambe AFC Fylde

Morecambe L L L D W L

AFC Fylde L W W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AFC Fylde	Morecambe	0 - 0	July 26, 2025

Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Forest Green	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Woking	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Carlisle	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Rochdale	2 - 4	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	0 - 2	Loss

AFC Fylde Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Blackpool	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Merthyr Town	2 - 4	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Southport	4 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Chester	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Radcliffe	4 - 3	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Chorley	2 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.55% likelihood that both Morecambe and AFC Fylde will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

AFC Fylde to win

This prediction indicates that AFC Fylde has a 48.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.34 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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